Prediction of Bautista Vilicich vs Nicolas Bruna at M15 Lima 12-09-25

• Bautista Vilicich has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 41.84% of points compared to Nicolas Bruna's 41.60% in the last six months. Could this marginal difference influence the outcome?
• In return games, Bautista Vilicich shows superiority with a 49.69% success rate on opponents' second serves and 35.77% on first serves. Nicolas Bruna is slightly behind at 46.24% and 30.32% respectively.
• Break point efficacy reveals Bautista Vilicich saving 53.00% of breakpoints, outperforming Nicolas Bruna who saves at a rate of 48.31%. Could this skill under pressure make a difference?
• Looking at match wins, Nicolas Bruna leads with a 50.79% win rate over the past year, whereas Bautista Vilicich has secured 45.24% of his matches.
• Surface analysis suggests Bautista Vilicich thrives on clay with a 58% win rate, whereas Nicolas Bruna’s best surface is indoor hard courts with a similar 58% success rate.
• In terms of player experience level, both athletes have predominantly competed in the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events. Nicolas Bruna has a slight edge here too, winning 52.46% of his matches compared to Bautista Vilicich's 48.15%.
• The caliber of opponents differs significantly; Bruna has faced tougher competition with an average opponent ranking of 242.22, compared to Bautista Vilicich's 388.17.
• Decider sets are pivotal, and here Nicolas Bruna has the upper hand, claiming victory in 38% compared to Bautista Vilicich's 31% over the last year.
• Examining break point conversion, Bautista Vilicich converts 36.24% of his opportunities, which is better than Nicolas Bruna’s 31.33%.

Editorial Prediction (December 9, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the head-to-head performance metrics, Bautista Vilicich exhibits a stronger second serve and return game, offering him a technical edge during rallies. However, Nicolas Bruna's ability to compete against higher-ranked opponents and marginally better performance in decisive sets highlight his resilience under pressure.

While Bautista Vilicich may capitalize on break opportunities more effectively and has shown skill in saving breakpoints, Bruna’s experience in tighter matches and the overall win percentage this past year positions him favorably for the upcoming encounter.

Despite Bautista Vilicich's strengths on clay, which may slightly benefit him if conditions are favorable, Nicolas Bruna's consistency against stronger opponents and his competitive edge in deciding sets make him the likely winner of this match.